LiveSwell · COGS + quotes · Draft v0

Real numbers, from real calls

The validation track's hard numbers. Starting estimates below are pulled from the Brewer Scout scorecard — replace each row with call notes as the shortlist responds.

Assumptions

Baseline for v0 math

  • Package: 16oz aluminum can, 4-pack, in shrink-wrapped case of 6 (24 cans).
  • Batch size: 15 bbl (≈ 4,650 × 16oz cans / batch).
  • OG target: 9–11°P (LiveSwell Lager profile).
  • Excludes: freight ex-brewery, distributor margin, retail markup.

Contract-brew shortlist

Cost per bbl (delivered wort → packaged case)

BrewerStatus$ / bbl (brew)$ / case (pkg)Min runRecipe ownershipLead time
AleSmith (San Diego)Intro call requested$180 (est)$14.50 (est)30 bblTBD — ask6–8 wk
Anvil (Sonora)Intro call requested$165 (est)$13.80 (est)15 bblTBD — ask8–10 wk
— open slot 3 —Not yet contacted
— open slot 4 —Not yet contacted

All dollar figures above are starting estimates from the Brewer Scout scorecard — overwrite with actual quotes after each call.

Landed COGS build

Per 4-pack, at 15 bbl runs (v0 estimate)

Line item$ / 4-packNotes
Contract brew fee$1.20AleSmith mid estimate, 15 bbl allocation
Ingredients (grain / hops / yeast)$0.90Low-ABV = ~30% less grain vs 6.5% IPA
Cans (blank)$0.6016oz, 4/pk
Labels / shrink$0.35Digital short-run
Packaging labor$0.45Included in brewer pkg fee for AleSmith / broken out for Anvil
CCV donation ($0.25 × 4)$1.00Per-unit give-back, disclosed
Total landed COGS$4.50Retail target: $12.99 / 4-pack

What to log per call

Fields the scorecard needs

Cost + capacity

Actual $/bbl (brew) · $/case (pkg) · min run size · earliest slot · pkg formats offered.

Terms + risk

Recipe ownership language · minimum commitment (bbl/yr) · exit terms · exclusivity requests · insurance requirements.